Good morning all,
 
Since this list has been so quiet, I thought I would put out a query.  Do
you do enrollment prediction?  What is your methodology?
 
I have been working regression equation to predict next fall's enrollment.
The process I used was to strip total credit hours by every cohort I could
think of, then to run a Pearson's correlation table against economic factors
such as cost of living, employment, housing permits, industrial permits, etc.
about 122 demograpic and economic factors in all.  I then took all the .6
correlations and put them through various types of regression finally
deciding on the backwards method of calculating the regression slope and
intersect. Now I am just waiting for the economic numbers to be released then
I will plug them into my equations and have a prediction for fall enrollment.
 
If you are doing, or thinking about doing, something easier, faster, or more
accurate, I would appreciate hearing from you.
 
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Garry Heberer                          [log in to unmask]
Director, Institutional Research       Voice:    (513) 778-8600
Edison Community College               FAX:      (513) 778-1920
1973 Edison Drive
Piqua, OH  45356
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